Jacqui Irwin's commanding position in the CA-26 general election stems from the district's underlying Democratic tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with her decisive June primary win and broad institutional support from California Democrats, including endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and retiring incumbent Julia Brownley. As a sitting state assemblymember with superior fundraising and name recognition, Irwin faces Republican pastor Sam Gallucci in a race forecasters rate solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent polling or national shifts altering the outlook. Late developments such as an unexpected Republican wave, candidate health issues, or unusually high turnout in key Ventura County precincts could still narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジャッキー・アーウィン（民主党）
95%
サム・ガルッチ（共和党）
6%
$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジャッキー・アーウィン（民主党）
$16,426 Vol.
95%
サム・ガルッチ（共和党）
$15,749 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin's commanding position in the CA-26 general election stems from the district's underlying Democratic tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with her decisive June primary win and broad institutional support from California Democrats, including endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and retiring incumbent Julia Brownley. As a sitting state assemblymember with superior fundraising and name recognition, Irwin faces Republican pastor Sam Gallucci in a race forecasters rate solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent polling or national shifts altering the outlook. Late developments such as an unexpected Republican wave, candidate health issues, or unusually high turnout in key Ventura County precincts could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$32,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin's commanding position in the CA-26 general election stems from the district's underlying Democratic tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with her decisive June primary win and broad institutional support from California Democrats, including endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and retiring incumbent Julia Brownley. As a sitting state assemblymember with superior fundraising and name recognition, Irwin faces Republican pastor Sam Gallucci in a race forecasters rate solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent polling or national shifts altering the outlook. Late developments such as an unexpected Republican wave, candidate health issues, or unusually high turnout in key Ventura County precincts could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin's commanding position in the CA-26 general election stems from the district's underlying Democratic tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with her decisive June primary win and broad institutional support from California Democrats, including endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and retiring incumbent Julia Brownley. As a sitting state assemblymember with superior fundraising and name recognition, Irwin faces Republican pastor Sam Gallucci in a race forecasters rate solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent polling or national shifts altering the outlook. Late developments such as an unexpected Republican wave, candidate health issues, or unusually high turnout in key Ventura County precincts could still narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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