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icon for AI data center in space by...?

AI data center in space by...?

icon for AI data center in space by...?

AI data center in space by...?

$49,447 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$49,447 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$23,512 Vol.

2%

December 31, 2027

$25,935 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Major tech firms and startups are accelerating orbital AI compute efforts amid terrestrial power and cooling constraints, though full-scale deployments remain years away.** Starcloud demonstrated the first data-center-grade NVIDIA H100 GPU in orbit in November 2025, training small models and running inference, with a multi-chip follow-on planned for October 2026. SpaceX filed for up to one million AI1/Starmind satellites in January 2026 targeting 2028+ scale, while Blue Origin filed for Project Sunrise (51,600 satellites) and Google advanced Project Suncatcher prototypes with Planet Labs TPUs slated for early 2027 testing. NVIDIA is supplying space-optimized hardware to multiple players. Pending FCC approvals, radiation and thermal challenges, and launch economics keep near-term probabilities low, with trader sentiment reflecting realistic timelines for qualifying 100+ accelerator orbital data centers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$49,447
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Major tech firms and startups are accelerating orbital AI compute efforts amid terrestrial power and cooling constraints, though full-scale deployments remain years away.** Starcloud demonstrated the first data-center-grade NVIDIA H100 GPU in orbit in November 2025, training small models and running inference, with a multi-chip follow-on planned for October 2026. SpaceX filed for up to one million AI1/Starmind satellites in January 2026 targeting 2028+ scale, while Blue Origin filed for Project Sunrise (51,600 satellites) and Google advanced Project Suncatcher prototypes with Planet Labs TPUs slated for early 2027 testing. NVIDIA is supplying space-optimized hardware to multiple players. Pending FCC approvals, radiation and thermal challenges, and launch economics keep near-term probabilities low, with trader sentiment reflecting realistic timelines for qualifying 100+ accelerator orbital data centers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$49,447
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「AI data center in space by...?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「December 31, 2027」で17%、次いで「December 31, 2026」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、17¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に17%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「AI data center in space by...?」は$49.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 14, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「AI data center in space by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「AI data center in space by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「December 31, 2027」で17%であり、市場がこの結果に17%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「December 31, 2026」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「AI data center in space by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。