Recent US Drought Monitor data as of early October 2026 indicate roughly 19% of corn acreage experiencing moderate or worse drought (D1+), down from about 25% in September amid targeted rainfall across parts of the western and northern Corn Belt. Persistent dryness lingers in the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley, where states like Arkansas report near-total coverage, while repeated showers and cooler conditions have eased deficits in Iowa, Nebraska, and adjacent areas. The National Drought Mitigation Center’s weekly updates, incorporating NOAA precipitation and soil moisture observations, position the 15–24% range as the dominant outcome ahead of the mid-October report. Harvest delays from wet fields in key states further support limited expansion of drought impacts before the resolution window closes.
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