Trader sentiment around Apple's week-of-September-7 closing price shows a tight contest centered on the $310–$325 range, with the $315–$320 outcome holding only a slim 26.5% implied probability lead. Recent earnings results relative to consensus estimates, services revenue trends, and hardware margin dynamics remain the dominant drivers, while broader technology sector rotation and shifts in Treasury yields influence risk appetite. The even spread across adjacent buckets highlights balanced uncertainty, with upcoming macroeconomic releases and any analyst estimate revisions likely to act as near-term swing factors before resolution. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital positioning rather than forecasts, leaving room for last-minute price action to alter the final distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$315~$320 27%
$310~$315 22%
$320~$325 19%
$305〜$310 12%
$295未満
8%
$295~$300
6%
$300-$305
8%
$305〜$310
12%
$310~$315
22%
$315~$320
27%
$320~$325
19%
$325〜$330
10%
$330~$335
7%
$335~$340
6%
340ドル超
10%
$315~$320 27%
$310~$315 22%
$320~$325 19%
$305〜$310 12%
$295未満
8%
$295~$300
6%
$300-$305
8%
$305〜$310
12%
$310~$315
22%
$315~$320
27%
$320~$325
19%
$325〜$330
10%
$330~$335
7%
$335~$340
6%
340ドル超
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Trader sentiment around Apple's week-of-September-7 closing price shows a tight contest centered on the $310–$325 range, with the $315–$320 outcome holding only a slim 26.5% implied probability lead. Recent earnings results relative to consensus estimates, services revenue trends, and hardware margin dynamics remain the dominant drivers, while broader technology sector rotation and shifts in Treasury yields influence risk appetite. The even spread across adjacent buckets highlights balanced uncertainty, with upcoming macroeconomic releases and any analyst estimate revisions likely to act as near-term swing factors before resolution. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital positioning rather than forecasts, leaving room for last-minute price action to alter the final distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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