The abrupt collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 95% market-implied odds against a 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing hurdles, while Stripe’s consortium walked away after failing to bridge valuation gaps. PayPal’s shares have since reflected renewed focus on its independent turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, supported by recent earnings beats and reorganization efforts. With the calendar year nearing its close and no active negotiations, trader consensus prices in near-certain resolution as “no.” Tail risks remain limited but include a surprise sweetened bid or regulatory shift that could reopen talks before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
5% probabilità
$91,081 Vol.
$91,081 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
5% probabilità
$91,081 Vol.
$91,081 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The abrupt collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 95% market-implied odds against a 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing hurdles, while Stripe’s consortium walked away after failing to bridge valuation gaps. PayPal’s shares have since reflected renewed focus on its independent turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, supported by recent earnings beats and reorganization efforts. With the calendar year nearing its close and no active negotiations, trader consensus prices in near-certain resolution as “no.” Tail risks remain limited but include a surprise sweetened bid or regulatory shift that could reopen talks before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$91,081Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The abrupt collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 95% market-implied odds against a 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing hurdles, while Stripe’s consortium walked away after failing to bridge valuation gaps. PayPal’s shares have since reflected renewed focus on its independent turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, supported by recent earnings beats and reorganization efforts. With the calendar year nearing its close and no active negotiations, trader consensus prices in near-certain resolution as “no.” Tail risks remain limited but include a surprise sweetened bid or regulatory shift that could reopen talks before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,081Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The abrupt collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 95% market-implied odds against a 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing hurdles, while Stripe’s consortium walked away after failing to bridge valuation gaps. PayPal’s shares have since reflected renewed focus on its independent turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, supported by recent earnings beats and reorganization efforts. With the calendar year nearing its close and no active negotiations, trader consensus prices in near-certain resolution as “no.” Tail risks remain limited but include a surprise sweetened bid or regulatory shift that could reopen talks before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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