Rockstar’s June 2026 announcement of a $79.99 standard edition for Grand Theft Auto VI, paired with a $99.99 Ultimate Edition, directly anchored trader sentiment and produced the overwhelming 97.8% implied probability against a $100+ base price. The official pricing ended months of speculation that the blockbuster would shatter the $70 ceiling entirely, aligning instead with recent industry moves like Nintendo’s $80 titles while offering premium cosmetics and missions only to higher-tier buyers. Pre-orders launched immediately at those figures, with no subsequent revisions reported despite the game’s November 19 release and massive marketing push. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow—such as an unannounced last-minute hike or regional pricing anomalies—but the confirmed retail structure and pre-order data make any shift to $100+ for the core game highly improbable at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGTA 6 costerà più di $100?
GTA 6 costerà più di $100?
Sì
2% probabilità
$405,138 Vol.
$405,138 Vol.
27 feb 2027
Sì
2% probabilità
$405,138 Vol.
$405,138 Vol.
27 feb 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rockstar’s June 2026 announcement of a $79.99 standard edition for Grand Theft Auto VI, paired with a $99.99 Ultimate Edition, directly anchored trader sentiment and produced the overwhelming 97.8% implied probability against a $100+ base price. The official pricing ended months of speculation that the blockbuster would shatter the $70 ceiling entirely, aligning instead with recent industry moves like Nintendo’s $80 titles while offering premium cosmetics and missions only to higher-tier buyers. Pre-orders launched immediately at those figures, with no subsequent revisions reported despite the game’s November 19 release and massive marketing push. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow—such as an unannounced last-minute hike or regional pricing anomalies—but the confirmed retail structure and pre-order data make any shift to $100+ for the core game highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Volume
$405,138Data di fine
28 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rockstar’s June 2026 announcement of a $79.99 standard edition for Grand Theft Auto VI, paired with a $99.99 Ultimate Edition, directly anchored trader sentiment and produced the overwhelming 97.8% implied probability against a $100+ base price. The official pricing ended months of speculation that the blockbuster would shatter the $70 ceiling entirely, aligning instead with recent industry moves like Nintendo’s $80 titles while offering premium cosmetics and missions only to higher-tier buyers. Pre-orders launched immediately at those figures, with no subsequent revisions reported despite the game’s November 19 release and massive marketing push. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow—such as an unannounced last-minute hike or regional pricing anomalies—but the confirmed retail structure and pre-order data make any shift to $100+ for the core game highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$405,138Data di fine
28 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Rockstar’s June 2026 announcement of a $79.99 standard edition for Grand Theft Auto VI, paired with a $99.99 Ultimate Edition, directly anchored trader sentiment and produced the overwhelming 97.8% implied probability against a $100+ base price. The official pricing ended months of speculation that the blockbuster would shatter the $70 ceiling entirely, aligning instead with recent industry moves like Nintendo’s $80 titles while offering premium cosmetics and missions only to higher-tier buyers. Pre-orders launched immediately at those figures, with no subsequent revisions reported despite the game’s November 19 release and massive marketing push. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow—such as an unannounced last-minute hike or regional pricing anomalies—but the confirmed retail structure and pre-order data make any shift to $100+ for the core game highly improbable at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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