Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and active preparation for a November Nasdaq listing, backed by surging annualized revenue exceeding $100 billion and banker roadshows, drive the 94.8 percent market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. Traders cite Anthropic’s concrete timeline, enterprise momentum with its Claude large language models, and pursuit of a potential $2 trillion valuation as decisive factors. OpenAI’s June filing has stalled after CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 IPO would be ill-advised amid AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. Realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome include regulatory delays for Anthropic’s offering or an abrupt policy reversal at OpenAI if competitive or capital pressures intensify before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnthropic o OpenAI IPO saranno i primi?
Anthropic o OpenAI IPO saranno i primi?
Anthropic
95% probabilità
$385,246 Vol.
$385,246 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
95% probabilità
$385,246 Vol.
$385,246 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and active preparation for a November Nasdaq listing, backed by surging annualized revenue exceeding $100 billion and banker roadshows, drive the 94.8 percent market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. Traders cite Anthropic’s concrete timeline, enterprise momentum with its Claude large language models, and pursuit of a potential $2 trillion valuation as decisive factors. OpenAI’s June filing has stalled after CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 IPO would be ill-advised amid AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. Realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome include regulatory delays for Anthropic’s offering or an abrupt policy reversal at OpenAI if competitive or capital pressures intensify before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$385,246Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and active preparation for a November Nasdaq listing, backed by surging annualized revenue exceeding $100 billion and banker roadshows, drive the 94.8 percent market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. Traders cite Anthropic’s concrete timeline, enterprise momentum with its Claude large language models, and pursuit of a potential $2 trillion valuation as decisive factors. OpenAI’s June filing has stalled after CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 IPO would be ill-advised amid AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. Realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome include regulatory delays for Anthropic’s offering or an abrupt policy reversal at OpenAI if competitive or capital pressures intensify before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070be91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and active preparation for a November Nasdaq listing, backed by surging annualized revenue exceeding $100 billion and banker roadshows, drive the 94.8 percent market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. Traders cite Anthropic’s concrete timeline, enterprise momentum with its Claude large language models, and pursuit of a potential $2 trillion valuation as decisive factors. OpenAI’s June filing has stalled after CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 IPO would be ill-advised amid AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. Realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome include regulatory delays for Anthropic’s offering or an abrupt policy reversal at OpenAI if competitive or capital pressures intensify before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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