**Strong summer performance, led by record-breaking runs from Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey, has propelled 2026’s year-to-date domestic total past $7.3 billion as of early September, outpacing recent post-pandemic years.** Each summer month exceeded $1 billion for the first time, with the season itself setting an all-time high of $4.76 billion and lifting cumulative figures well ahead of 2025. Traders see this momentum supporting a solid but not elite finish—likely landing in the 10th–12th range historically—given the remaining Q4 slate, including major titles like Avengers: Doomsday. Market-implied odds reflect measured optimism about sustained audience return without assuming a return to pre-pandemic peaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhere will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
10th-12th 63%
7th-9th 18%
6th or higher 17%
Below 15th 4.7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
6th or higher
17%
7th-9th
18%
10th-12th
63%
13th-15th
5%
Below 15th
5%
10th-12th 63%
7th-9th 18%
6th or higher 17%
Below 15th 4.7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
6th or higher
$6,004 Vol.
17%
7th-9th
$803 Vol.
18%
10th-12th
$2,375 Vol.
63%
13th-15th
$289 Vol.
5%
Below 15th
$286 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer performance, led by record-breaking runs from Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey, has propelled 2026’s year-to-date domestic total past $7.3 billion as of early September, outpacing recent post-pandemic years.** Each summer month exceeded $1 billion for the first time, with the season itself setting an all-time high of $4.76 billion and lifting cumulative figures well ahead of 2025. Traders see this momentum supporting a solid but not elite finish—likely landing in the 10th–12th range historically—given the remaining Q4 slate, including major titles like Avengers: Doomsday. Market-implied odds reflect measured optimism about sustained audience return without assuming a return to pre-pandemic peaks.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$9,757Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer performance, led by record-breaking runs from Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey, has propelled 2026’s year-to-date domestic total past $7.3 billion as of early September, outpacing recent post-pandemic years.** Each summer month exceeded $1 billion for the first time, with the season itself setting an all-time high of $4.76 billion and lifting cumulative figures well ahead of 2025. Traders see this momentum supporting a solid but not elite finish—likely landing in the 10th–12th range historically—given the remaining Q4 slate, including major titles like Avengers: Doomsday. Market-implied odds reflect measured optimism about sustained audience return without assuming a return to pre-pandemic peaks.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$9,757Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Strong summer performance, led by record-breaking runs from Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey, has propelled 2026’s year-to-date domestic total past $7.3 billion as of early September, outpacing recent post-pandemic years.** Each summer month exceeded $1 billion for the first time, with the season itself setting an all-time high of $4.76 billion and lifting cumulative figures well ahead of 2025. Traders see this momentum supporting a solid but not elite finish—likely landing in the 10th–12th range historically—given the remaining Q4 slate, including major titles like Avengers: Doomsday. Market-implied odds reflect measured optimism about sustained audience return without assuming a return to pre-pandemic peaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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