**Avengers: Doomsday’s record $50 million in domestic presales three months before its December 18 release has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status, reflecting intense fan demand for the MCU’s Avengers team-up event film featuring cross-franchise characters like the Fantastic Four and X-Men.** Recent trailer performance and Disney+ viewing surges for prior Marvel titles have amplified momentum, with estimates projecting a $260–300 million domestic opening that could challenge or exceed existing 2026 benchmarks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s already-completed $360 million July debut and $2.4 billion global run keep it competitive as a proven performer, though its summer timing limits further upside. Later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah face stiffer competition from holiday blockbusters and historically lower opening ceilings for their respective franchises, keeping their implied probabilities minimal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 38%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$155,027 Vol.
$155,027 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
38%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 38%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$155,027 Vol.
$155,027 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$65,101 Vol.
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$56,990 Vol.
38%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday’s record $50 million in domestic presales three months before its December 18 release has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status, reflecting intense fan demand for the MCU’s Avengers team-up event film featuring cross-franchise characters like the Fantastic Four and X-Men.** Recent trailer performance and Disney+ viewing surges for prior Marvel titles have amplified momentum, with estimates projecting a $260–300 million domestic opening that could challenge or exceed existing 2026 benchmarks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s already-completed $360 million July debut and $2.4 billion global run keep it competitive as a proven performer, though its summer timing limits further upside. Later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah face stiffer competition from holiday blockbusters and historically lower opening ceilings for their respective franchises, keeping their implied probabilities minimal.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$155,027Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday’s record $50 million in domestic presales three months before its December 18 release has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status, reflecting intense fan demand for the MCU’s Avengers team-up event film featuring cross-franchise characters like the Fantastic Four and X-Men.** Recent trailer performance and Disney+ viewing surges for prior Marvel titles have amplified momentum, with estimates projecting a $260–300 million domestic opening that could challenge or exceed existing 2026 benchmarks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s already-completed $360 million July debut and $2.4 billion global run keep it competitive as a proven performer, though its summer timing limits further upside. Later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah face stiffer competition from holiday blockbusters and historically lower opening ceilings for their respective franchises, keeping their implied probabilities minimal.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$155,027Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday’s record $50 million in domestic presales three months before its December 18 release has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status, reflecting intense fan demand for the MCU’s Avengers team-up event film featuring cross-franchise characters like the Fantastic Four and X-Men.** Recent trailer performance and Disney+ viewing surges for prior Marvel titles have amplified momentum, with estimates projecting a $260–300 million domestic opening that could challenge or exceed existing 2026 benchmarks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s already-completed $360 million July debut and $2.4 billion global run keep it competitive as a proven performer, though its summer timing limits further upside. Later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah face stiffer competition from holiday blockbusters and historically lower opening ceilings for their respective franchises, keeping their implied probabilities minimal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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