SpaceX's (SPCX) shares have traded near $152–154 in mid-to-late September 2026, supporting a roughly $2.0–2.07 trillion market capitalization after the June IPO priced the company at $1.77 trillion and an early peak above $2.6 trillion. This positioning underpins the 47% market-implied probability for a $2.00–2.25 trillion close at month-end, reflecting trader consensus on limited volatility over the remaining days. Key influences include ongoing Starlink revenue expansion—now the dominant segment—continued capital spending that keeps the firm unprofitable, and an upcoming Starship orbital test targeted for late September. Elevated price-to-sales multiples above 60x trailing revenue embed expectations for sustained growth in connectivity and potential orbital infrastructure, while analyst price targets remain mixed amid lock-up expirations and broader tech sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2.00-$2.25T 48%
$1.75-$2.00T 29%
$2.25T+ 19.6%
$1.50-$1.75T 4.0%
$21,694 Vol.
$21,694 Vol.
30 set 2026
<$1.00T
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
2%
$1.50-$1.75T
4%
$1.75-$2.00T
29%
$2.00-$2.25T
48%
$2.25T+
20%
$2.00-$2.25T 48%
$1.75-$2.00T 29%
$2.25T+ 19.6%
$1.50-$1.75T 4.0%
$21,694 Vol.
$21,694 Vol.
30 set 2026
<$1.00T
$752 Vol.
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
$717 Vol.
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
$2,268 Vol.
2%
$1.50-$1.75T
$1,382 Vol.
4%
$1.75-$2.00T
$9,676 Vol.
29%
$2.00-$2.25T
$3,654 Vol.
48%
$2.25T+
$3,245 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's (SPCX) shares have traded near $152–154 in mid-to-late September 2026, supporting a roughly $2.0–2.07 trillion market capitalization after the June IPO priced the company at $1.77 trillion and an early peak above $2.6 trillion. This positioning underpins the 47% market-implied probability for a $2.00–2.25 trillion close at month-end, reflecting trader consensus on limited volatility over the remaining days. Key influences include ongoing Starlink revenue expansion—now the dominant segment—continued capital spending that keeps the firm unprofitable, and an upcoming Starship orbital test targeted for late September. Elevated price-to-sales multiples above 60x trailing revenue embed expectations for sustained growth in connectivity and potential orbital infrastructure, while analyst price targets remain mixed amid lock-up expirations and broader tech sentiment.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
Volume
$21,694Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's (SPCX) shares have traded near $152–154 in mid-to-late September 2026, supporting a roughly $2.0–2.07 trillion market capitalization after the June IPO priced the company at $1.77 trillion and an early peak above $2.6 trillion. This positioning underpins the 47% market-implied probability for a $2.00–2.25 trillion close at month-end, reflecting trader consensus on limited volatility over the remaining days. Key influences include ongoing Starlink revenue expansion—now the dominant segment—continued capital spending that keeps the firm unprofitable, and an upcoming Starship orbital test targeted for late September. Elevated price-to-sales multiples above 60x trailing revenue embed expectations for sustained growth in connectivity and potential orbital infrastructure, while analyst price targets remain mixed amid lock-up expirations and broader tech sentiment.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$21,694Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's (SPCX) shares have traded near $152–154 in mid-to-late September 2026, supporting a roughly $2.0–2.07 trillion market capitalization after the June IPO priced the company at $1.77 trillion and an early peak above $2.6 trillion. This positioning underpins the 47% market-implied probability for a $2.00–2.25 trillion close at month-end, reflecting trader consensus on limited volatility over the remaining days. Key influences include ongoing Starlink revenue expansion—now the dominant segment—continued capital spending that keeps the firm unprofitable, and an upcoming Starship orbital test targeted for late September. Elevated price-to-sales multiples above 60x trailing revenue embed expectations for sustained growth in connectivity and potential orbital infrastructure, while analyst price targets remain mixed amid lock-up expirations and broader tech sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Space Exploration Technologies sarà almeno di 2,25 trilioni di dollari alla fine di ottobre 2026?
39%
Sì
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?
57%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?
84%
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