Core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings, most recently reaffirming commitments to production stability and market management on September 6, 2026. The group completed phased quota adjustments earlier in the year and shifted focus to capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, maintaining operational continuity despite the UAE's May exit, prior departures such as Angola, and supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. This sustained institutional activity underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against dissolution in 2026. Plausible shifts could still emerge from breakdowns in 2027 quota negotiations or additional high-profile exits if geopolitical pressures intensify further before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'OPEC si scioglie nel 2026?
L'OPEC si scioglie nel 2026?
Sì
3% probabilità
$35,085 Vol.
$35,085 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$35,085 Vol.
$35,085 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings, most recently reaffirming commitments to production stability and market management on September 6, 2026. The group completed phased quota adjustments earlier in the year and shifted focus to capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, maintaining operational continuity despite the UAE's May exit, prior departures such as Angola, and supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. This sustained institutional activity underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against dissolution in 2026. Plausible shifts could still emerge from breakdowns in 2027 quota negotiations or additional high-profile exits if geopolitical pressures intensify further before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$35,085Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings, most recently reaffirming commitments to production stability and market management on September 6, 2026. The group completed phased quota adjustments earlier in the year and shifted focus to capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, maintaining operational continuity despite the UAE's May exit, prior departures such as Angola, and supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. This sustained institutional activity underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against dissolution in 2026. Plausible shifts could still emerge from breakdowns in 2027 quota negotiations or additional high-profile exits if geopolitical pressures intensify further before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,085Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings, most recently reaffirming commitments to production stability and market management on September 6, 2026. The group completed phased quota adjustments earlier in the year and shifted focus to capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, maintaining operational continuity despite the UAE's May exit, prior departures such as Angola, and supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. This sustained institutional activity underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against dissolution in 2026. Plausible shifts could still emerge from breakdowns in 2027 quota negotiations or additional high-profile exits if geopolitical pressures intensify further before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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