MrBeast’s latest long-form release, the September 19 charity video “I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor,” has accumulated roughly 40 million views in its first 48 hours, tempering expectations for the next Saturday upload and anchoring trader consensus around the 60-70 million bracket at 67.7% implied probability. Recent standard long-form videos have typically landed between 90-115 million after seven days, while the current project’s lower early trajectory and its emphasis on philanthropy rather than high-concept spectacle appear to have shifted sentiment downward. Market-implied odds reflect this pattern, with only modest probability assigned to 70-80 million and negligible support for higher or lower brackets. The next catalyst will be the upcoming video’s upload and its initial 24-48 hour performance metrics, which historically set the pace for week-one totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato# di visualizzazioni del prossimo video di MrBeast nella settimana 1?
60-70M 67.7%
70-80M 27%
80-90M 1.8%
50-60M 1.6%
$128,922 Vol.
$128,922 Vol.
<50M
1%
50-60M
2%
60-70M
68%
70-80M
27%
80-90M
2%
90-100M
<1%
100M+
<1%
60-70M 67.7%
70-80M 27%
80-90M 1.8%
50-60M 1.6%
$128,922 Vol.
$128,922 Vol.
<50M
1%
50-60M
2%
60-70M
68%
70-80M
27%
80-90M
2%
90-100M
<1%
100M+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s latest long-form release, the September 19 charity video “I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor,” has accumulated roughly 40 million views in its first 48 hours, tempering expectations for the next Saturday upload and anchoring trader consensus around the 60-70 million bracket at 67.7% implied probability. Recent standard long-form videos have typically landed between 90-115 million after seven days, while the current project’s lower early trajectory and its emphasis on philanthropy rather than high-concept spectacle appear to have shifted sentiment downward. Market-implied odds reflect this pattern, with only modest probability assigned to 70-80 million and negligible support for higher or lower brackets. The next catalyst will be the upcoming video’s upload and its initial 24-48 hour performance metrics, which historically set the pace for week-one totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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