Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a raid in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. Both face narcoterrorism and cocaine trafficking charges in New York federal court, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with a June 1, 2027, trial date set. Recent developments include Maduro’s September 3 motion to dismiss the case on sovereign immunity grounds, Flores’s September 10 request for house arrest citing cardiac issues requiring specialized care unavailable in detention, and a November 17 hearing on pretrial motions. These legal steps, combined with ongoing US-Venezuela diplomatic contacts involving the interim government under Delcy Rodríguez, shape trader assessments of release timelines or conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2,689,498 Vol.
30 gen 2026
31 dicembre
7%
$2,689,498 Vol.
31 dicembre
$294,049 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a raid in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. Both face narcoterrorism and cocaine trafficking charges in New York federal court, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with a June 1, 2027, trial date set. Recent developments include Maduro’s September 3 motion to dismiss the case on sovereign immunity grounds, Flores’s September 10 request for house arrest citing cardiac issues requiring specialized care unavailable in detention, and a November 17 hearing on pretrial motions. These legal steps, combined with ongoing US-Venezuela diplomatic contacts involving the interim government under Delcy Rodríguez, shape trader assessments of release timelines or conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,689,498Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a raid in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. Both face narcoterrorism and cocaine trafficking charges in New York federal court, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with a June 1, 2027, trial date set. Recent developments include Maduro’s September 3 motion to dismiss the case on sovereign immunity grounds, Flores’s September 10 request for house arrest citing cardiac issues requiring specialized care unavailable in detention, and a November 17 hearing on pretrial motions. These legal steps, combined with ongoing US-Venezuela diplomatic contacts involving the interim government under Delcy Rodríguez, shape trader assessments of release timelines or conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,689,498Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a raid in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. Both face narcoterrorism and cocaine trafficking charges in New York federal court, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with a June 1, 2027, trial date set. Recent developments include Maduro’s September 3 motion to dismiss the case on sovereign immunity grounds, Flores’s September 10 request for house arrest citing cardiac issues requiring specialized care unavailable in detention, and a November 17 hearing on pretrial motions. These legal steps, combined with ongoing US-Venezuela diplomatic contacts involving the interim government under Delcy Rodríguez, shape trader assessments of release timelines or conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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