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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho
Elezioni·Idaho Midterm

Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho
Elezioni·Idaho Midterm

Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho

Jim Risch (R) 95.6%

Democratico 3.2%

Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%

Polymarket

$33,321 Vol.

Jim Risch (R) 95.6%

Democratico 3.2%

Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%

Polymarket

$33,321 Vol.

icon for Jim Risch (R)

Jim Risch (R)

$18,749 Vol.

96%

icon for Democratico

Democratico

$14,397 Vol.

3%

icon for Todd Achilles (I)

Todd Achilles (I)

$175 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican lean, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and long incumbency. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative who entered after the Democratic nominee withdrew in July, has raised meaningful funds but faces structural barriers in a race rated safely Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with polling showing Risch ahead by double digits. A major shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal or health event, given the consistent partisan fundamentals.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$33,321
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican lean, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and long incumbency. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative who entered after the Democratic nominee withdrew in July, has raised meaningful funds but faces structural barriers in a race rated safely Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with polling showing Risch ahead by double digits. A major shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal or health event, given the consistent partisan fundamentals.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$33,321
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

icon for I repubblicani vinceranno la corsa al Senato dell'Iowa nel 2026?

I repubblicani vinceranno la corsa al Senato dell'Iowa nel 2026?

61%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato dell'Oregon nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato dell'Oregon nel 2026?

97%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato del Minnesota nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato del Minnesota nel 2026?

92%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jim Risch (R)" a 96%, seguito da "Democratico" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 96¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho" ha generato $33.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Oct 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho" è "Jim Risch (R)" a 96%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Democratico" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.