Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 positions the market toward a modest domestic opening, with the sub-$6 million bin leading at 43.5% implied probability. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score create headwinds for broad mainstream appeal despite sold-out premium-format previews, strong presales in major markets, and Cannes buzz. Historical performance of imported genre titles and September competition further support trader caution around breakout potential, while the film’s strong South Korean results offer limited direct precedent for U.S. tracking. The closely bunched 6–10 million ranges reflect uncertainty ahead of the September 11–13 weekend numbers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBox Office del weekend di apertura "Hope"
Box Office del weekend di apertura "Hope"
<6 milioni 44%
9-10 milioni 29%
6-7 milioni 27%
7-8 milioni 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
<6 milioni
44%
6-7 milioni
27%
7-8 milioni
23%
8-9 milioni
21%
9-10 milioni
29%
10 milioni+
19%
<6 milioni 44%
9-10 milioni 29%
6-7 milioni 27%
7-8 milioni 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
<6 milioni
$1 Vol.
44%
6-7 milioni
$0 Vol.
27%
7-8 milioni
$0 Vol.
23%
8-9 milioni
$0 Vol.
21%
9-10 milioni
$0 Vol.
29%
10 milioni+
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 positions the market toward a modest domestic opening, with the sub-$6 million bin leading at 43.5% implied probability. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score create headwinds for broad mainstream appeal despite sold-out premium-format previews, strong presales in major markets, and Cannes buzz. Historical performance of imported genre titles and September competition further support trader caution around breakout potential, while the film’s strong South Korean results offer limited direct precedent for U.S. tracking. The closely bunched 6–10 million ranges reflect uncertainty ahead of the September 11–13 weekend numbers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$1Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 positions the market toward a modest domestic opening, with the sub-$6 million bin leading at 43.5% implied probability. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score create headwinds for broad mainstream appeal despite sold-out premium-format previews, strong presales in major markets, and Cannes buzz. Historical performance of imported genre titles and September competition further support trader caution around breakout potential, while the film’s strong South Korean results offer limited direct precedent for U.S. tracking. The closely bunched 6–10 million ranges reflect uncertainty ahead of the September 11–13 weekend numbers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 positions the market toward a modest domestic opening, with the sub-$6 million bin leading at 43.5% implied probability. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score create headwinds for broad mainstream appeal despite sold-out premium-format previews, strong presales in major markets, and Cannes buzz. Historical performance of imported genre titles and September competition further support trader caution around breakout potential, while the film’s strong South Korean results offer limited direct precedent for U.S. tracking. The closely bunched 6–10 million ranges reflect uncertainty ahead of the September 11–13 weekend numbers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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