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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Holborn e St Pancras
Politica·UK

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Holborn e St Pancras

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Holborn e St Pancras
Politica·UK

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Holborn e St Pancras

Sagal Abdi-Wali 68%

Zack Polanski 29%

Hamza Chowdhury 3.4%

Sarah Hayward 1.1%

Polymarket

$25,198 Vol.

Sagal Abdi-Wali 68%

Zack Polanski 29%

Hamza Chowdhury 3.4%

Sarah Hayward 1.1%

Polymarket

$25,198 Vol.

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$6,954 Vol.

68%

icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$6,646 Vol.

29%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$308 Vol.

3%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$226 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrew Feinstein

Andrew Feinstein

$2,004 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$496 Vol.

<1%

icon for James White

James White

$508 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$525 Vol.

<1%

icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$1,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$508 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$472 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$483 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Stansell

David Stansell

$314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Clinton

Charlie Clinton

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Keith Moffitt

Keith Moffitt

$472 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mehreen Malik

Mehreen Malik

$480 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oliver Cooper

Oliver Cooper

$455 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Roberts

David Roberts

$470 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Pochin

Sarah Pochin

$370 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Labour’s selection of Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali as its candidate on 9 September has reinforced trader consensus that she is the frontrunner to retain the seat in the 8 October by-election triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation. Abdi-Wali, a local councillor since 2022 and council leader since May, brings a strong community profile in a constituency Labour has held continuously since 1983 and where the party led recent local ward results. Zack Polanski, the Green Party leader seeking nomination against local challenger Hamza Chowdhury, remains the main alternative at lower implied probability, reflecting Green gains among progressive voters in inner London on housing and related issues. Other named candidates trail far behind, consistent with the seat’s structural Labour lean and limited time for late shifts before nominations close on 15 September.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$25,198
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Labour’s selection of Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali as its candidate on 9 September has reinforced trader consensus that she is the frontrunner to retain the seat in the 8 October by-election triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation. Abdi-Wali, a local councillor since 2022 and council leader since May, brings a strong community profile in a constituency Labour has held continuously since 1983 and where the party led recent local ward results. Zack Polanski, the Green Party leader seeking nomination against local challenger Hamza Chowdhury, remains the main alternative at lower implied probability, reflecting Green gains among progressive voters in inner London on housing and related issues. Other named candidates trail far behind, consistent with the seat’s structural Labour lean and limited time for late shifts before nominations close on 15 September.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$25,198
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Holborn e St Pancras" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 23 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Sagal Abdi-Wali" a 68%, seguito da "Zack Polanski" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 68¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 68% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Holborn e St Pancras" ha generato $25.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Holborn e St Pancras", esplora i 23 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Holborn e St Pancras" è "Sagal Abdi-Wali" a 68%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 68% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Zack Polanski" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Holborn e St Pancras" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.