Official measurements from Houston-area stations, including George Bush Intercontinental Airport, recorded a daily high temperature of 88–89°F on October 1, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. This reflects typical early-October conditions in the region, where average highs hover near 86°F amid lingering summer humidity and southerly flow, with limited cooling from Gulf moisture and scattered storms preventing further rises. National Weather Service data and model consensus supported this range in the hours leading to resolution, leaving minimal uncertainty. Only a rare station discrepancy or revision in verified observations could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain uncommon for this timeframe.