Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C high in Busan on October 2 due to consistent output from global and regional forecast models, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, indicating clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and afternoon temperatures peaking near 24–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns with typical early-October climatology for the region, where maximums average around 22–24°C amid transitioning monsoon influences. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect minimal model spread and recent observational trends showing no significant deviations. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a shift in steering flow that suppresses daytime heating by 1–2°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.