**Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active but have not produced charges or an arrest as of mid-September 2026.** Multiple sources, including court records and reporting from CBS News, AP, and The New York Times, confirm that FBI agents executed search warrants in mid-August, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro from Swalwell at San Francisco International Airport and searching his Washington, D.C., residence. These actions stem from allegations of sexual misconduct raised earlier in the year, with federal prosecutors examining potential violations of civil rights statutes such as 18 U.S.C. § 242. Separate inquiries by the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities are also underway, following Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. As of the latest available updates, including Wikipedia’s September 13 entry, no charges have been filed. Device analysis, evidence review, and inter-jurisdictional coordination typically require extended periods, reducing the likelihood of an arrest before the September 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 93% for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent procedural milestones—such as indictments, warrants, or public statements from prosecutors—within the narrow remaining window. Late-stage developments like plea negotiations or new evidence could theoretically alter timelines, but current records show no such acceleration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
7% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active but have not produced charges or an arrest as of mid-September 2026.** Multiple sources, including court records and reporting from CBS News, AP, and The New York Times, confirm that FBI agents executed search warrants in mid-August, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro from Swalwell at San Francisco International Airport and searching his Washington, D.C., residence. These actions stem from allegations of sexual misconduct raised earlier in the year, with federal prosecutors examining potential violations of civil rights statutes such as 18 U.S.C. § 242.
Separate inquiries by the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities are also underway, following Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. As of the latest available updates, including Wikipedia’s September 13 entry, no charges have been filed. Device analysis, evidence review, and inter-jurisdictional coordination typically require extended periods, reducing the likelihood of an arrest before the September 30 resolution date.
Trader consensus at 93% for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent procedural milestones—such as indictments, warrants, or public statements from prosecutors—within the narrow remaining window. Late-stage developments like plea negotiations or new evidence could theoretically alter timelines, but current records show no such acceleration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Volume
$22Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active but have not produced charges or an arrest as of mid-September 2026.** Multiple sources, including court records and reporting from CBS News, AP, and The New York Times, confirm that FBI agents executed search warrants in mid-August, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro from Swalwell at San Francisco International Airport and searching his Washington, D.C., residence. These actions stem from allegations of sexual misconduct raised earlier in the year, with federal prosecutors examining potential violations of civil rights statutes such as 18 U.S.C. § 242.
Separate inquiries by the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities are also underway, following Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. As of the latest available updates, including Wikipedia’s September 13 entry, no charges have been filed. Device analysis, evidence review, and inter-jurisdictional coordination typically require extended periods, reducing the likelihood of an arrest before the September 30 resolution date.
Trader consensus at 93% for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent procedural milestones—such as indictments, warrants, or public statements from prosecutors—within the narrow remaining window. Late-stage developments like plea negotiations or new evidence could theoretically alter timelines, but current records show no such acceleration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active but have not produced charges or an arrest as of mid-September 2026.** Multiple sources, including court records and reporting from CBS News, AP, and The New York Times, confirm that FBI agents executed search warrants in mid-August, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro from Swalwell at San Francisco International Airport and searching his Washington, D.C., residence. These actions stem from allegations of sexual misconduct raised earlier in the year, with federal prosecutors examining potential violations of civil rights statutes such as 18 U.S.C. § 242. Separate inquiries by the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities are also underway, following Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. As of the latest available updates, including Wikipedia’s September 13 entry, no charges have been filed. Device analysis, evidence review, and inter-jurisdictional coordination typically require extended periods, reducing the likelihood of an arrest before the September 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 93% for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent procedural milestones—such as indictments, warrants, or public statements from prosecutors—within the narrow remaining window. Late-stage developments like plea negotiations or new evidence could theoretically alter timelines, but current records show no such acceleration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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