Federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following device seizures and home searches executed by the FBI in mid-August 2026 as part of a civil rights probe tied to the claims. Multiple women accused him of assault and other misconduct in April 2026, prompting his resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. No indictments or formal charges have been announced by federal prosecutors, the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, or Los Angeles authorities as of early September. Complex cases involving device analysis, evidence review, and potential grand jury proceedings typically require more time than the remaining window to September 30. Trader consensus at roughly 84% probability against charges by the deadline aligns with standard prosecutorial timelines in such matters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
16% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
Sì
16% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following device seizures and home searches executed by the FBI in mid-August 2026 as part of a civil rights probe tied to the claims. Multiple women accused him of assault and other misconduct in April 2026, prompting his resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. No indictments or formal charges have been announced by federal prosecutors, the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, or Los Angeles authorities as of early September. Complex cases involving device analysis, evidence review, and potential grand jury proceedings typically require more time than the remaining window to September 30. Trader consensus at roughly 84% probability against charges by the deadline aligns with standard prosecutorial timelines in such matters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Volume
$136Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following device seizures and home searches executed by the FBI in mid-August 2026 as part of a civil rights probe tied to the claims. Multiple women accused him of assault and other misconduct in April 2026, prompting his resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. No indictments or formal charges have been announced by federal prosecutors, the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, or Los Angeles authorities as of early September. Complex cases involving device analysis, evidence review, and potential grand jury proceedings typically require more time than the remaining window to September 30. Trader consensus at roughly 84% probability against charges by the deadline aligns with standard prosecutorial timelines in such matters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$136Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following device seizures and home searches executed by the FBI in mid-August 2026 as part of a civil rights probe tied to the claims. Multiple women accused him of assault and other misconduct in April 2026, prompting his resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. No indictments or formal charges have been announced by federal prosecutors, the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, or Los Angeles authorities as of early September. Complex cases involving device analysis, evidence review, and potential grand jury proceedings typically require more time than the remaining window to September 30. Trader consensus at roughly 84% probability against charges by the deadline aligns with standard prosecutorial timelines in such matters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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