The official USD/ARS rate currently trades near 1,515 amid a managed band regime with indexed monthly crawls tied to lagged inflation data. Trader consensus heavily favors a close above 1,600 by year-end, aligning with the government’s 2027 budget assumption of 1,600, BCRA market expectations of 1,630, and independent forecasts around 1,602. Persistent inflation—21% year-to-date through August despite monthly rates near 1.7%—continues to pressure depreciation, though central bank interventions and a strong-peso policy have limited the year-to-date move to roughly 4%. This setup positions 1,600-plus as the dominant outcome, with limited scope for a materially lower close given the three-month horizon and fiscal-monetary framework.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArgentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+ 78%
1500.00–1549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.4%
$11,028 Vol.
$11,028 Vol.
<1250.00
3%
1250.00–1299.99
2%
1300.00–1349.99
3%
1350.00–1399.99
3%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500.00–1549.99
11%
1550.00–1599.99
14%
1600.00+
72%
1600.00+ 78%
1500.00–1549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.4%
$11,028 Vol.
$11,028 Vol.
<1250.00
3%
1250.00–1299.99
2%
1300.00–1349.99
3%
1350.00–1399.99
3%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500.00–1549.99
11%
1550.00–1599.99
14%
1600.00+
72%
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The official USD/ARS rate currently trades near 1,515 amid a managed band regime with indexed monthly crawls tied to lagged inflation data. Trader consensus heavily favors a close above 1,600 by year-end, aligning with the government’s 2027 budget assumption of 1,600, BCRA market expectations of 1,630, and independent forecasts around 1,602. Persistent inflation—21% year-to-date through August despite monthly rates near 1.7%—continues to pressure depreciation, though central bank interventions and a strong-peso policy have limited the year-to-date move to roughly 4%. This setup positions 1,600-plus as the dominant outcome, with limited scope for a materially lower close given the three-month horizon and fiscal-monetary framework.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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