**Rebecca Cooke holds a clear lead in the WI-03 race, reflecting a competitive battleground district where the Democratic challenger has consolidated support after defeating a primary opponent in August.** The seat flipped narrowly to Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden in 2024 by roughly two points, but recent polling averages show Cooke ahead or tied, and nonpartisan raters classify it as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders appear to weigh Cooke's substantial fundraising advantage and profile as a local small-business owner against Van Orden's recent controversies, including bipartisan criticism over his August comments to Capitol pages. The district's mix of rural and suburban voters, combined with the broader midterm environment, keeps the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-cycle developments in the weeks before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
28%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
$4,465 Vol.
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
$2,073 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Rebecca Cooke holds a clear lead in the WI-03 race, reflecting a competitive battleground district where the Democratic challenger has consolidated support after defeating a primary opponent in August.** The seat flipped narrowly to Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden in 2024 by roughly two points, but recent polling averages show Cooke ahead or tied, and nonpartisan raters classify it as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders appear to weigh Cooke's substantial fundraising advantage and profile as a local small-business owner against Van Orden's recent controversies, including bipartisan criticism over his August comments to Capitol pages. The district's mix of rural and suburban voters, combined with the broader midterm environment, keeps the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-cycle developments in the weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,538Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Rebecca Cooke holds a clear lead in the WI-03 race, reflecting a competitive battleground district where the Democratic challenger has consolidated support after defeating a primary opponent in August.** The seat flipped narrowly to Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden in 2024 by roughly two points, but recent polling averages show Cooke ahead or tied, and nonpartisan raters classify it as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders appear to weigh Cooke's substantial fundraising advantage and profile as a local small-business owner against Van Orden's recent controversies, including bipartisan criticism over his August comments to Capitol pages. The district's mix of rural and suburban voters, combined with the broader midterm environment, keeps the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-cycle developments in the weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,538Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Rebecca Cooke holds a clear lead in the WI-03 race, reflecting a competitive battleground district where the Democratic challenger has consolidated support after defeating a primary opponent in August.** The seat flipped narrowly to Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden in 2024 by roughly two points, but recent polling averages show Cooke ahead or tied, and nonpartisan raters classify it as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders appear to weigh Cooke's substantial fundraising advantage and profile as a local small-business owner against Van Orden's recent controversies, including bipartisan criticism over his August comments to Capitol pages. The district's mix of rural and suburban voters, combined with the broader midterm environment, keeps the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-cycle developments in the weeks before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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