Karoline Leavitt’s departure at the end of August 2026 to focus on family has left the White House communications operation without a designated press secretary, prompting traders to weigh a crowded field ahead of the November midterms. Anna Kelly, the current principal deputy, holds the highest implied probability at 23.5 percent due to her direct experience briefing under Leavitt and prior RNC work. Scott Jennings at 17.3 percent benefits from reported meetings with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and Trump’s public praise, while Alina Habba’s 11.6 percent reflects her long-standing loyalty despite her recent denial of interest. Other names such as Margo Martin and Maria Bartiromo trade in the low teens amid speculation over internal promotions versus outside surrogates. With no appointment announced and the president indicating he is not rushing a decision, the market remains fragmented as traders monitor White House meetings, Trump’s comments, and any shifts in communications leadership.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnna Kelly 24%
Scott Jennings 17.3%
Alina Habba 11.6%
Maria Bartiromo 12%
$396,290 Vol.
$396,290 Vol.
Anna Kelly
24%
Scott Jennings
17%
Alina Habba
12%
Maria Bartiromo
12%
Natalie Harp
2%
Margo Martin
2%
Katie Miller
1%
Tricia McLaughlin
1%
Taylor Rogers
1%
Liz Huston
1%
Katie Pavlich
1%
Harrison Fields
1%
Spencer Pratt
1%
Kush Desai
1%
Pat Adams
1%
Ari Fleischer
1%
Lara Trump
1%
Katie Zacharia
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Kayleigh McEnany
<1%
Matthew Boyle
<1%
Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%
Lauren Bis
<1%
Kaelan Dorr
<1%
Monica Crowley
<1%
Hogan Gidley
<1%
Anna Kelly 24%
Scott Jennings 17.3%
Alina Habba 11.6%
Maria Bartiromo 12%
$396,290 Vol.
$396,290 Vol.
Anna Kelly
24%
Scott Jennings
17%
Alina Habba
12%
Maria Bartiromo
12%
Natalie Harp
2%
Margo Martin
2%
Katie Miller
1%
Tricia McLaughlin
1%
Taylor Rogers
1%
Liz Huston
1%
Katie Pavlich
1%
Harrison Fields
1%
Spencer Pratt
1%
Kush Desai
1%
Pat Adams
1%
Ari Fleischer
1%
Lara Trump
1%
Katie Zacharia
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Kayleigh McEnany
<1%
Matthew Boyle
<1%
Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%
Lauren Bis
<1%
Kaelan Dorr
<1%
Monica Crowley
<1%
Hogan Gidley
<1%
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Karoline Leavitt’s departure at the end of August 2026 to focus on family has left the White House communications operation without a designated press secretary, prompting traders to weigh a crowded field ahead of the November midterms. Anna Kelly, the current principal deputy, holds the highest implied probability at 23.5 percent due to her direct experience briefing under Leavitt and prior RNC work. Scott Jennings at 17.3 percent benefits from reported meetings with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and Trump’s public praise, while Alina Habba’s 11.6 percent reflects her long-standing loyalty despite her recent denial of interest. Other names such as Margo Martin and Maria Bartiromo trade in the low teens amid speculation over internal promotions versus outside surrogates. With no appointment announced and the president indicating he is not rushing a decision, the market remains fragmented as traders monitor White House meetings, Trump’s comments, and any shifts in communications leadership.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan