Recent polling for Victoria’s 28 November state election shows a fragmented primary vote, with the Coalition leading at 28–29 percent, One Nation close behind at 23–25 percent, Labor at 24–25 percent, and the Greens at 12–15 percent. These figures have held steady since the July leadership change that installed Ben Carroll as premier, while two-party-preferred averages favor the Coalition 54–46. Trader pricing for second place places Labor at 64 percent, reflecting assessments that Labor’s established base and preference flows position it ahead of One Nation despite the latter’s surge under Warren Pickering. The Coalition’s lead keeps its second-place odds low at 16 percent, while minor parties remain at or below 50 percent amid uncertainty over final preference distributions and late-campaign shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLabor 65%
One Nation 21.4%
Liberal–National 16.1%
Greens <1%
BARU
BARU
Nov 28, 2026
Labor
65%
One Nation
21%
Liberal–National
16%
Greens
1%
Labor 65%
One Nation 21.4%
Liberal–National 16.1%
Greens <1%
BARU
BARU
Nov 28, 2026
Labor
$1,740 Vol.
65%
One Nation
$730 Vol.
21%
Liberal–National
$493 Vol.
16%
Greens
$424 Vol.
1%
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polling for Victoria’s 28 November state election shows a fragmented primary vote, with the Coalition leading at 28–29 percent, One Nation close behind at 23–25 percent, Labor at 24–25 percent, and the Greens at 12–15 percent. These figures have held steady since the July leadership change that installed Ben Carroll as premier, while two-party-preferred averages favor the Coalition 54–46. Trader pricing for second place places Labor at 64 percent, reflecting assessments that Labor’s established base and preference flows position it ahead of One Nation despite the latter’s surge under Warren Pickering. The Coalition’s lead keeps its second-place odds low at 16 percent, while minor parties remain at or below 50 percent amid uncertainty over final preference distributions and late-campaign shifts.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ET
Volume
$3,387Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polling for Victoria’s 28 November state election shows a fragmented primary vote, with the Coalition leading at 28–29 percent, One Nation close behind at 23–25 percent, Labor at 24–25 percent, and the Greens at 12–15 percent. These figures have held steady since the July leadership change that installed Ben Carroll as premier, while two-party-preferred averages favor the Coalition 54–46. Trader pricing for second place places Labor at 64 percent, reflecting assessments that Labor’s established base and preference flows position it ahead of One Nation despite the latter’s surge under Warren Pickering. The Coalition’s lead keeps its second-place odds low at 16 percent, while minor parties remain at or below 50 percent amid uncertainty over final preference distributions and late-campaign shifts.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
Volume
$3,387Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Victoria’s 28 November state election shows a fragmented primary vote, with the Coalition leading at 28–29 percent, One Nation close behind at 23–25 percent, Labor at 24–25 percent, and the Greens at 12–15 percent. These figures have held steady since the July leadership change that installed Ben Carroll as premier, while two-party-preferred averages favor the Coalition 54–46. Trader pricing for second place places Labor at 64 percent, reflecting assessments that Labor’s established base and preference flows position it ahead of One Nation despite the latter’s surge under Warren Pickering. The Coalition’s lead keeps its second-place odds low at 16 percent, while minor parties remain at or below 50 percent amid uncertainty over final preference distributions and late-campaign shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan