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icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politik·Walikota

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politik·Walikota

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

John Kelly 39%

Ryan Posselt 19%

Louise Bloomfield 16%

Bill Harvey 10%

Polymarket
BARU

John Kelly 39%

Ryan Posselt 19%

Louise Bloomfield 16%

Bill Harvey 10%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$2,305 Vol.

39%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$1,388 Vol.

19%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$1,066 Vol.

16%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$1,315 Vol.

10%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$309 Vol.

9%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$1,057 Vol.

2%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$286 Vol.

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor race, following incumbent Anna Reynolds’s June 2026 decision not to seek re-election, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government elections. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation, with John Kelly at 38.5% after his early September entry and others such as Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Bill Harvey, and Marti Zucco clustered lower, underscoring the absence of a clear frontrunner. Candidates share overlapping emphases on transport infrastructure, financial governance, and sustainable growth, while the single transferable vote system amplifies the role of preference flows among similar profiles. Limited public polling since mid-year and the short campaign window following September nominations have kept probabilities compressed, with further candidate statements, media scrutiny, or preference deals likely to produce clearer separation before postal voting concludes.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$7,725
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor race, following incumbent Anna Reynolds’s June 2026 decision not to seek re-election, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government elections. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation, with John Kelly at 38.5% after his early September entry and others such as Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Bill Harvey, and Marti Zucco clustered lower, underscoring the absence of a clear frontrunner. Candidates share overlapping emphases on transport infrastructure, financial governance, and sustainable growth, while the single transferable vote system amplifies the role of preference flows among similar profiles. Limited public polling since mid-year and the short campaign window following September nominations have kept probabilities compressed, with further candidate statements, media scrutiny, or preference deals likely to produce clearer separation before postal voting concludes.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$7,725
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "John Kelly" di 39%, diikuti oleh "Ryan Posselt" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 39¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 3, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" adalah "John Kelly" di 39%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ryan Posselt" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.