SpaceX's market cap, now trading near $2.01–2.07 trillion at roughly $153 per share following its June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the end-of-September resolution. Recent sessions show elevated volatility tied to limited float, with average daily ranges exceeding 4% amid ongoing lockup expirations and Starship test timelines. Forward revenue estimates near $44 billion support elevated multiples near 45x sales, while segment data highlight Starlink's contribution to connectivity profits offsetting losses elsewhere. Analyst price targets spanning $117–$450 reflect wide dispersion around growth in satellite services and infrastructure spending. These elements sustain the $2.00–2.25 trillion band as the modal outcome in the narrow window to month-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2.00-$2.25T 49%
$1.75-$2.00T 29%
$2.25T+ 20.7%
$1.50-$1.75T 4.1%
$21,694 Vol.
$21,694 Vol.
<$1.00T
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
2%
$1.50-$1.75T
4%
$1.75-$2.00T
29%
$2.00-$2.25T
49%
$2.25T+
21%
$2.00-$2.25T 49%
$1.75-$2.00T 29%
$2.25T+ 20.7%
$1.50-$1.75T 4.1%
$21,694 Vol.
$21,694 Vol.
<$1.00T
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
2%
$1.50-$1.75T
4%
$1.75-$2.00T
29%
$2.00-$2.25T
49%
$2.25T+
21%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's market cap, now trading near $2.01–2.07 trillion at roughly $153 per share following its June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the end-of-September resolution. Recent sessions show elevated volatility tied to limited float, with average daily ranges exceeding 4% amid ongoing lockup expirations and Starship test timelines. Forward revenue estimates near $44 billion support elevated multiples near 45x sales, while segment data highlight Starlink's contribution to connectivity profits offsetting losses elsewhere. Analyst price targets spanning $117–$450 reflect wide dispersion around growth in satellite services and infrastructure spending. These elements sustain the $2.00–2.25 trillion band as the modal outcome in the narrow window to month-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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