Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican or better, reflecting its suburban Columbus base and rural counties. Carey’s substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $3 million compared with Democrat Don Leonard’s roughly $600,000, has enabled stronger campaign infrastructure. Primaries concluded in May with both nominees advancing cleanly. Recent polling, including an August survey showing Carey ahead by four points, reinforces trader consensus around an 78% implied probability for the Republican, though the race remains within striking distance in a midterm environment where national conditions could influence turnout and margins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$12,672 Vol.
$12,672 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Carey (R)
78%
Don Leonard (D)
21%
$12,672 Vol.
$12,672 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Carey (R)
$4,947 Vol.
78%
Don Leonard (D)
$7,725 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican or better, reflecting its suburban Columbus base and rural counties. Carey’s substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $3 million compared with Democrat Don Leonard’s roughly $600,000, has enabled stronger campaign infrastructure. Primaries concluded in May with both nominees advancing cleanly. Recent polling, including an August survey showing Carey ahead by four points, reinforces trader consensus around an 78% implied probability for the Republican, though the race remains within striking distance in a midterm environment where national conditions could influence turnout and margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,672Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican or better, reflecting its suburban Columbus base and rural counties. Carey’s substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $3 million compared with Democrat Don Leonard’s roughly $600,000, has enabled stronger campaign infrastructure. Primaries concluded in May with both nominees advancing cleanly. Recent polling, including an August survey showing Carey ahead by four points, reinforces trader consensus around an 78% implied probability for the Republican, though the race remains within striking distance in a midterm environment where national conditions could influence turnout and margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,672Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican or better, reflecting its suburban Columbus base and rural counties. Carey’s substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $3 million compared with Democrat Don Leonard’s roughly $600,000, has enabled stronger campaign infrastructure. Primaries concluded in May with both nominees advancing cleanly. Recent polling, including an August survey showing Carey ahead by four points, reinforces trader consensus around an 78% implied probability for the Republican, though the race remains within striking distance in a midterm environment where national conditions could influence turnout and margins.
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