Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 4th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+21 and strong prior presidential results for the party. Jordan, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary, benefits from high name recognition and a record of repeated reelection by wide margins. Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, has raised limited funds and faces structural headwinds in this rural and suburban northern Ohio district. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to low-probability events such as a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong Democratic national environment by November 3, 2026.
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OH-04 House Election Winner
$21,580 Vol.
$21,580 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Jordan (R)
95%
Joshua Kolasinski (D)
5%
$21,580 Vol.
$21,580 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Jordan (R)
$9,547 Vol.
95%
Joshua Kolasinski (D)
$12,032 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 4th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+21 and strong prior presidential results for the party. Jordan, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary, benefits from high name recognition and a record of repeated reelection by wide margins. Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, has raised limited funds and faces structural headwinds in this rural and suburban northern Ohio district. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to low-probability events such as a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong Democratic national environment by November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$21,580Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 4th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+21 and strong prior presidential results for the party. Jordan, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary, benefits from high name recognition and a record of repeated reelection by wide margins. Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, has raised limited funds and faces structural headwinds in this rural and suburban northern Ohio district. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to low-probability events such as a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong Democratic national environment by November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,580Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 4th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+21 and strong prior presidential results for the party. Jordan, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary, benefits from high name recognition and a record of repeated reelection by wide margins. Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, has raised limited funds and faces structural headwinds in this rural and suburban northern Ohio district. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to low-probability events such as a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong Democratic national environment by November 3, 2026.
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