Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area and his 65 percent margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a contested primary for either candidate. Challenger Dennis Hannon, the Republican nominee, has emphasized public safety and cost-of-living issues but faces structural headwinds in a district with a clear partisan lean. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments far beyond current indicators.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-26 House Election Winner
NY-26 House Election Winner
$26,636 Vol.
$26,636 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tim Kennedy (D)
95%
Dennis Hannon (R)
3%
$26,636 Vol.
$26,636 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tim Kennedy (D)
$14,443 Vol.
95%
Dennis Hannon (R)
$12,193 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area and his 65 percent margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a contested primary for either candidate. Challenger Dennis Hannon, the Republican nominee, has emphasized public safety and cost-of-living issues but faces structural headwinds in a district with a clear partisan lean. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments far beyond current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$26,636Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area and his 65 percent margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a contested primary for either candidate. Challenger Dennis Hannon, the Republican nominee, has emphasized public safety and cost-of-living issues but faces structural headwinds in a district with a clear partisan lean. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments far beyond current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,636Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area and his 65 percent margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a contested primary for either candidate. Challenger Dennis Hannon, the Republican nominee, has emphasized public safety and cost-of-living issues but faces structural headwinds in a district with a clear partisan lean. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments far beyond current indicators.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan