Jamie Ager holds a 63.5% implied probability in the NC-11 House race due to substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, strong name recognition as a local farmer, and national Democratic support through programs like Red to Blue. The Republican position at 36.5% reflects the late August 2026 replacement of incumbent Chuck Edwards—who withdrew after a House Ethics Committee finding and subsequent censure—with state Rep. Jennifer Balkcom, who faces a compressed campaign timeline ahead of the November 3 general election. Balkcom has secured Trump endorsement and recent NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program while releasing her first ad in early September, but the district’s shift toward competitiveness stems from Edwards’ exit amid the scandal and Ager’s established infrastructure in a Western North Carolina seat with a modest Republican lean.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNC-11 House Election Winner
NC-11 House Election Winner
$15,862 Vol.
$15,862 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jamie Ager (D)
64%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
37%
$15,862 Vol.
$15,862 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jamie Ager (D)
$7,358 Vol.
64%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
$8,504 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Ager holds a 63.5% implied probability in the NC-11 House race due to substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, strong name recognition as a local farmer, and national Democratic support through programs like Red to Blue. The Republican position at 36.5% reflects the late August 2026 replacement of incumbent Chuck Edwards—who withdrew after a House Ethics Committee finding and subsequent censure—with state Rep. Jennifer Balkcom, who faces a compressed campaign timeline ahead of the November 3 general election. Balkcom has secured Trump endorsement and recent NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program while releasing her first ad in early September, but the district’s shift toward competitiveness stems from Edwards’ exit amid the scandal and Ager’s established infrastructure in a Western North Carolina seat with a modest Republican lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$15,862Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Ager holds a 63.5% implied probability in the NC-11 House race due to substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, strong name recognition as a local farmer, and national Democratic support through programs like Red to Blue. The Republican position at 36.5% reflects the late August 2026 replacement of incumbent Chuck Edwards—who withdrew after a House Ethics Committee finding and subsequent censure—with state Rep. Jennifer Balkcom, who faces a compressed campaign timeline ahead of the November 3 general election. Balkcom has secured Trump endorsement and recent NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program while releasing her first ad in early September, but the district’s shift toward competitiveness stems from Edwards’ exit amid the scandal and Ager’s established infrastructure in a Western North Carolina seat with a modest Republican lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,862Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jamie Ager holds a 63.5% implied probability in the NC-11 House race due to substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, strong name recognition as a local farmer, and national Democratic support through programs like Red to Blue. The Republican position at 36.5% reflects the late August 2026 replacement of incumbent Chuck Edwards—who withdrew after a House Ethics Committee finding and subsequent censure—with state Rep. Jennifer Balkcom, who faces a compressed campaign timeline ahead of the November 3 general election. Balkcom has secured Trump endorsement and recent NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program while releasing her first ad in early September, but the district’s shift toward competitiveness stems from Edwards’ exit amid the scandal and Ager’s established infrastructure in a Western North Carolina seat with a modest Republican lean.
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