Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf's position as speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly rests on strong institutional backing from conservative factions and the supreme leader's circle, following his re-election in May 2026 with 235 votes for a seventh consecutive term. Limited internal pressure emerged in June from a small group of ultraconservative Paydari Party lawmakers critical of his role in U.S. negotiations and parliamentary procedures, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 of 290 members opposed him. As of early September, Ghalibaf continues active public statements on foreign policy and sanctions, reflecting no successful removal effort. Trader consensus on removal timing hinges on potential factional shifts, legislative sessions, or leadership changes within the Majles, though historical patterns show low turnover for speakers with broad principlist support.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$54,292 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
13%
$54,292 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
13%
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf's position as speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly rests on strong institutional backing from conservative factions and the supreme leader's circle, following his re-election in May 2026 with 235 votes for a seventh consecutive term. Limited internal pressure emerged in June from a small group of ultraconservative Paydari Party lawmakers critical of his role in U.S. negotiations and parliamentary procedures, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 of 290 members opposed him. As of early September, Ghalibaf continues active public statements on foreign policy and sanctions, reflecting no successful removal effort. Trader consensus on removal timing hinges on potential factional shifts, legislative sessions, or leadership changes within the Majles, though historical patterns show low turnover for speakers with broad principlist support.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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