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icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

icon for MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

40% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
40% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through late September, despite an unusually active 2025 that featured three such performances (Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber).** Historically, the feat has happened only 21 times across more than 150 years of MLB play, underscoring its rarity even in high-power environments. In 2026, top sluggers have posted multi-homer outings and strong home-run totals, but no batter has reached four in a single contest amid deeper bullpens, varied matchups, and pitching adjustments. With the regular season ending September 27, only a small number of remaining games limit opportunities, supporting traders' consensus that "No" carries the higher implied probability at this stage. Late surges by power hitters or favorable matchups could still shift dynamics before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,348
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through late September, despite an unusually active 2025 that featured three such performances (Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber).** Historically, the feat has happened only 21 times across more than 150 years of MLB play, underscoring its rarity even in high-power environments. In 2026, top sluggers have posted multi-homer outings and strong home-run totals, but no batter has reached four in a single contest amid deeper bullpens, varied matchups, and pitching adjustments. With the regular season ending September 27, only a small number of remaining games limit opportunities, supporting traders' consensus that "No" carries the higher implied probability at this stage. Late surges by power hitters or favorable matchups could still shift dynamics before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,348
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 40% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 40¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 40% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 28, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" adalah 40% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 40% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.