Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked advancement of Democratic-led impeachment articles introduced in January 2026, which cited obstruction of oversight, public trust violations, and contracting issues tied to immigration enforcement. President Trump removed Noem from the Department of Homeland Security in March 2026, ending her eligibility for removal proceedings before any floor action. Trader consensus at 96.5% against impeachment in 2026 reflects these structural barriers and historical patterns where cabinet impeachments rarely succeed without bipartisan support. Late developments such as a return to federal office or renewed congressional majorities after the midterms remain the only plausible paths that could reopen the question before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
4% peluang
$22,389 Vol.
$22,389 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% peluang
$22,389 Vol.
$22,389 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked advancement of Democratic-led impeachment articles introduced in January 2026, which cited obstruction of oversight, public trust violations, and contracting issues tied to immigration enforcement. President Trump removed Noem from the Department of Homeland Security in March 2026, ending her eligibility for removal proceedings before any floor action. Trader consensus at 96.5% against impeachment in 2026 reflects these structural barriers and historical patterns where cabinet impeachments rarely succeed without bipartisan support. Late developments such as a return to federal office or renewed congressional majorities after the midterms remain the only plausible paths that could reopen the question before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$22,389Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked advancement of Democratic-led impeachment articles introduced in January 2026, which cited obstruction of oversight, public trust violations, and contracting issues tied to immigration enforcement. President Trump removed Noem from the Department of Homeland Security in March 2026, ending her eligibility for removal proceedings before any floor action. Trader consensus at 96.5% against impeachment in 2026 reflects these structural barriers and historical patterns where cabinet impeachments rarely succeed without bipartisan support. Late developments such as a return to federal office or renewed congressional majorities after the midterms remain the only plausible paths that could reopen the question before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$22,389Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked advancement of Democratic-led impeachment articles introduced in January 2026, which cited obstruction of oversight, public trust violations, and contracting issues tied to immigration enforcement. President Trump removed Noem from the Department of Homeland Security in March 2026, ending her eligibility for removal proceedings before any floor action. Trader consensus at 96.5% against impeachment in 2026 reflects these structural barriers and historical patterns where cabinet impeachments rarely succeed without bipartisan support. Late developments such as a return to federal office or renewed congressional majorities after the midterms remain the only plausible paths that could reopen the question before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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