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icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Łukasz Gibała 80%

Monika Piątkowska 16%

Michał Drewnicki 5.0%

Grażyna Zofia Świat 1.9%

Polymarket

$27,707 Vol.

Łukasz Gibała 80%

Monika Piątkowska 16%

Michał Drewnicki 5.0%

Grażyna Zofia Świat 1.9%

Polymarket

$27,707 Vol.

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$14,146 Vol.

80%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$3,590 Vol.

16%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$883 Vol.

5%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$1,121 Vol.

2%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$669 Vol.

1%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$510 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$885 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$698 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$565 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$537 Vol.

<1%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$523 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$645 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$554 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$642 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$617 Vol.

<1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the clearest lead in the September 27, 2026, Kraków mayoral election following the May recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Recent surveys, including OGB and Opinia24 polls from mid-September, show Gibała at 35–39% support in the first round, well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO/ PSL-backed) at 20–25% and Michał Drewnicki (PiS) at 10–15%, with remaining registered candidates trailing further. Gibała’s independent “Kraków for Residents” committee, prior city council experience, and narrow 2024 runoff showing have consolidated backing among voters seeking continuity outside major-party structures. School mock votes and media coverage have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the vote and possible October runoff. Traders price these polling trends and the short campaign timeline into Gibała’s dominant implied probability.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$27,707
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 27, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the clearest lead in the September 27, 2026, Kraków mayoral election following the May recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Recent surveys, including OGB and Opinia24 polls from mid-September, show Gibała at 35–39% support in the first round, well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO/ PSL-backed) at 20–25% and Michał Drewnicki (PiS) at 10–15%, with remaining registered candidates trailing further. Gibała’s independent “Kraków for Residents” committee, prior city council experience, and narrow 2024 runoff showing have consolidated backing among voters seeking continuity outside major-party structures. School mock votes and media coverage have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the vote and possible October runoff. Traders price these polling trends and the short campaign timeline into Gibała’s dominant implied probability.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$27,707
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 27, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Łukasz Gibała" di 80%, diikuti oleh "Monika Piątkowska" di 17%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 80¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $27.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 6, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" adalah "Łukasz Gibała" di 80%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Monika Piątkowska" di 17%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.