Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in a March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. in the heavily Democratic open-seat race created by Robin Kelly’s retirement. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Miller. She has maintained a substantial fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner, while Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district that last elected a Republican in 1950. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current pricing ahead of the November general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$33,691 Vol.
$33,691 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
97%
Michael Noack (R)
1%
$33,691 Vol.
$33,691 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
$14,437 Vol.
97%
Michael Noack (R)
$19,254 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in a March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. in the heavily Democratic open-seat race created by Robin Kelly’s retirement. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Miller. She has maintained a substantial fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner, while Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district that last elected a Republican in 1950. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current pricing ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,691Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in a March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. in the heavily Democratic open-seat race created by Robin Kelly’s retirement. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Miller. She has maintained a substantial fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner, while Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district that last elected a Republican in 1950. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current pricing ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,691Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in a March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. in the heavily Democratic open-seat race created by Robin Kelly’s retirement. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Miller. She has maintained a substantial fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner, while Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district that last elected a Republican in 1950. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current pricing ahead of the November general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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