Christina Bohannan holds a strong edge in trader consensus for Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the seat produced one of the nation’s closest House results in 2024, when Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks prevailed by fewer than 800 votes. That narrow margin, combined with the 2026 midterm cycle and independent ratings classifying the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic, has shifted implied probabilities toward the Democratic challenger. Both candidates cleared their June primaries easily and maintain comparable cash reserves, while recent polling aggregates show Bohannan ahead by low single digits. Fundraising parity and the district’s history of tight contests continue to keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and national conditions through November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
$28,244 Vol.
$28,244 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
73%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
24%
$28,244 Vol.
$28,244 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
$18,492 Vol.
73%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
$9,753 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong edge in trader consensus for Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the seat produced one of the nation’s closest House results in 2024, when Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks prevailed by fewer than 800 votes. That narrow margin, combined with the 2026 midterm cycle and independent ratings classifying the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic, has shifted implied probabilities toward the Democratic challenger. Both candidates cleared their June primaries easily and maintain comparable cash reserves, while recent polling aggregates show Bohannan ahead by low single digits. Fundraising parity and the district’s history of tight contests continue to keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and national conditions through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Volume
$28,244Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong edge in trader consensus for Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the seat produced one of the nation’s closest House results in 2024, when Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks prevailed by fewer than 800 votes. That narrow margin, combined with the 2026 midterm cycle and independent ratings classifying the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic, has shifted implied probabilities toward the Democratic challenger. Both candidates cleared their June primaries easily and maintain comparable cash reserves, while recent polling aggregates show Bohannan ahead by low single digits. Fundraising parity and the district’s history of tight contests continue to keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and national conditions through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,244Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christina Bohannan holds a strong edge in trader consensus for Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the seat produced one of the nation’s closest House results in 2024, when Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks prevailed by fewer than 800 votes. That narrow margin, combined with the 2026 midterm cycle and independent ratings classifying the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic, has shifted implied probabilities toward the Democratic challenger. Both candidates cleared their June primaries easily and maintain comparable cash reserves, while recent polling aggregates show Bohannan ahead by low single digits. Fundraising parity and the district’s history of tight contests continue to keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and national conditions through November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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