Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and national models such as DWD and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and modest onshore flow are limiting solar heating, keeping values close to the seasonal average high of 19.8°C while preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 21°C and 33.5% for 22°C, aligns with this narrow model spread and the low likelihood of clearing skies or warmer advection that would push readings to 23°C or higher. Final DWD station observations will determine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 14?
21°C 54%
22°C 34%
20°C 10%
23°C 5%
BARU
$18,713 Vol.
BARU
$18,713 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
10%
21°C
54%
22°C
34%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 54%
22°C 34%
20°C 10%
23°C 5%
BARU
$18,713 Vol.
BARU
$18,713 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$1,217 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$932 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$767 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$662 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$383 Vol.
2%
19°C
$768 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,820 Vol.
10%
21°C
$3,890 Vol.
54%
22°C
$6,309 Vol.
34%
23°C
$1,426 Vol.
5%
24°C or higher
$537 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and national models such as DWD and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and modest onshore flow are limiting solar heating, keeping values close to the seasonal average high of 19.8°C while preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 21°C and 33.5% for 22°C, aligns with this narrow model spread and the low likelihood of clearing skies or warmer advection that would push readings to 23°C or higher. Final DWD station observations will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$18,713Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and national models such as DWD and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and modest onshore flow are limiting solar heating, keeping values close to the seasonal average high of 19.8°C while preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 21°C and 33.5% for 22°C, aligns with this narrow model spread and the low likelihood of clearing skies or warmer advection that would push readings to 23°C or higher. Final DWD station observations will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,713Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and national models such as DWD and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and modest onshore flow are limiting solar heating, keeping values close to the seasonal average high of 19.8°C while preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 21°C and 33.5% for 22°C, aligns with this narrow model spread and the low likelihood of clearing skies or warmer advection that would push readings to 23°C or higher. Final DWD station observations will determine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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