**Real-time observations and forecast model consensus have driven near-certain trader positioning on an 18°C daily maximum for Munich on September 10.** Overcast skies, light easterly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure limited daytime heating, with hourly data from sources such as Yr and Meteoprog showing afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 18°C. This aligns with the day’s cool, cloudy pattern that kept temperatures below the long-term September average high of 20.5°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official station readings and model runs around that exact threshold. Only an unexpected late-day spike or post-hoc measurement revision at the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though current data make such shifts improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$61,861 Vol.
$61,861 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$61,861 Vol.
$61,861 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$1,260 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,722 Vol.
No
15°C
$287 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,950 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,512 Vol.
No
18°C
$13,039 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$13,350 Vol.
No
20°C
$10,267 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,152 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,624 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$1,696 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time observations and forecast model consensus have driven near-certain trader positioning on an 18°C daily maximum for Munich on September 10.** Overcast skies, light easterly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure limited daytime heating, with hourly data from sources such as Yr and Meteoprog showing afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 18°C. This aligns with the day’s cool, cloudy pattern that kept temperatures below the long-term September average high of 20.5°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official station readings and model runs around that exact threshold. Only an unexpected late-day spike or post-hoc measurement revision at the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though current data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$61,861Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time observations and forecast model consensus have driven near-certain trader positioning on an 18°C daily maximum for Munich on September 10.** Overcast skies, light easterly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure limited daytime heating, with hourly data from sources such as Yr and Meteoprog showing afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 18°C. This aligns with the day’s cool, cloudy pattern that kept temperatures below the long-term September average high of 20.5°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official station readings and model runs around that exact threshold. Only an unexpected late-day spike or post-hoc measurement revision at the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though current data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,861Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Real-time observations and forecast model consensus have driven near-certain trader positioning on an 18°C daily maximum for Munich on September 10.** Overcast skies, light easterly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure limited daytime heating, with hourly data from sources such as Yr and Meteoprog showing afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 18°C. This aligns with the day’s cool, cloudy pattern that kept temperatures below the long-term September average high of 20.5°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official station readings and model runs around that exact threshold. Only an unexpected late-day spike or post-hoc measurement revision at the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though current data make such shifts improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan