Recent meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a stable high-pressure regime over southern Germany on October 1, supporting partly cloudy skies and a daytime maximum near 24–25°C in Munich. This follows a mild late-September pattern with daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, as light winds and limited moisture advection allow surface temperatures to build modestly before any evening cooling. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak timing and cloud cover, which could trim or boost the high by 1°C, aligning with the close market split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.