**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 10?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$32,876 Vol.
$32,876 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$32,876 Vol.
$32,876 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$566 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,997 Vol.
No
26°C
$487 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,595 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,000 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,540 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,092 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$5,438 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,989 Vol.
No
33°C
$828 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$345 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$32,876Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,876Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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