Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin Bergstrom International Airport recorded a daily maximum temperature of 79°F on October 2, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that suppressed typical October warming. This value aligns with multiple model outputs and real-time station data showing highs several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 87°F. Trader consensus at 100% on the 78–79°F bin reflects these verified measurements rather than forecasts. Revisions to preliminary climate summaries or differences in resolution criteria between official stations could theoretically alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the consistency across reporting networks.
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