The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote rejecting participation in the October 11 United Left primary, combined with La France Insoumise and Place Publique's consistent refusal to join, has left the contest without major-party backing and triggered multiple candidate withdrawals. These fractures among New Popular Front participants have stalled organization of the event, prompting traders to price cancellation at 92.5 percent under the market's explicit resolution criteria. Remaining smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L'Après have not yet formally abandoned the process, but limited participation and procedural shortfalls make reversal unlikely absent coordinated reversals by key actors or an official announcement sustaining the schedule. Late developments like renewed coalition talks or emergency endorsements could still shift odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCanceled 92.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$223,406 Vol.
$223,406 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
92%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Canceled 92.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$223,406 Vol.
$223,406 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
$87,693 Vol.
92%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote rejecting participation in the October 11 United Left primary, combined with La France Insoumise and Place Publique's consistent refusal to join, has left the contest without major-party backing and triggered multiple candidate withdrawals. These fractures among New Popular Front participants have stalled organization of the event, prompting traders to price cancellation at 92.5 percent under the market's explicit resolution criteria. Remaining smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L'Après have not yet formally abandoned the process, but limited participation and procedural shortfalls make reversal unlikely absent coordinated reversals by key actors or an official announcement sustaining the schedule. Late developments like renewed coalition talks or emergency endorsements could still shift odds before resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$223,406Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote rejecting participation in the October 11 United Left primary, combined with La France Insoumise and Place Publique's consistent refusal to join, has left the contest without major-party backing and triggered multiple candidate withdrawals. These fractures among New Popular Front participants have stalled organization of the event, prompting traders to price cancellation at 92.5 percent under the market's explicit resolution criteria. Remaining smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L'Après have not yet formally abandoned the process, but limited participation and procedural shortfalls make reversal unlikely absent coordinated reversals by key actors or an official announcement sustaining the schedule. Late developments like renewed coalition talks or emergency endorsements could still shift odds before resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$223,406Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote rejecting participation in the October 11 United Left primary, combined with La France Insoumise and Place Publique's consistent refusal to join, has left the contest without major-party backing and triggered multiple candidate withdrawals. These fractures among New Popular Front participants have stalled organization of the event, prompting traders to price cancellation at 92.5 percent under the market's explicit resolution criteria. Remaining smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L'Après have not yet formally abandoned the process, but limited participation and procedural shortfalls make reversal unlikely absent coordinated reversals by key actors or an official announcement sustaining the schedule. Late developments like renewed coalition talks or emergency endorsements could still shift odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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