**Traders are anchoring the 160-179 bracket (50.5% implied) and 180-199 range (31.5%) because Elon Musk’s baseline X activity this week has tracked a steady 20-plus posts per day amid the Venice Film Festival premiere of the Alex Gibney documentary “Musk.”** The film and related coverage of personal matters, including Ashley St. Clair’s public statements, have generated consistent replies, quotes, and commentary without triggering the extreme daily spikes that produced 200-plus counts in prior windows. Recent shorter periods settled lower (40-64 or under 40), but the eight-day span and ongoing platform and Tesla-related engagement keep the market pricing a moderate-to-elevated total. With one day left before resolution on September 11, any late surge tied to Cybercab rollout news or further documentary reaction could still shift the outcome into the next bracket.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui160-179 51%
180-199 32%
140-159 12.7%
200-219 6%
$1,260,161 Vol.
$1,260,161 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
13%
160-179
51%
180-199
32%
200-219
6%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 51%
180-199 32%
140-159 12.7%
200-219 6%
$1,260,161 Vol.
$1,260,161 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
13%
160-179
51%
180-199
32%
200-219
6%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders are anchoring the 160-179 bracket (50.5% implied) and 180-199 range (31.5%) because Elon Musk’s baseline X activity this week has tracked a steady 20-plus posts per day amid the Venice Film Festival premiere of the Alex Gibney documentary “Musk.”** The film and related coverage of personal matters, including Ashley St. Clair’s public statements, have generated consistent replies, quotes, and commentary without triggering the extreme daily spikes that produced 200-plus counts in prior windows. Recent shorter periods settled lower (40-64 or under 40), but the eight-day span and ongoing platform and Tesla-related engagement keep the market pricing a moderate-to-elevated total. With one day left before resolution on September 11, any late surge tied to Cybercab rollout news or further documentary reaction could still shift the outcome into the next bracket.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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