High market-implied odds against an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stem from the Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining regionally confined to the Democratic Republic of the Congo despite rapid early growth to over 7,200 confirmed cases and 3,500 deaths by mid-September. Official CDC and WHO data show transmission declining in Ituri province, the epicenter, with only limited cases in Uganda and one imported case in France and no evidence of sustained community spread beyond central Africa. The WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern but has not characterized the event as a pandemic given its geographic scope. Traders note realistic upside risks from continued spread into additional provinces or neighboring countries amid security challenges and high population mobility, though recent model trends and response progress support sustained containment through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
3% peluang
$764,321 Vol.
$764,321 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% peluang
$764,321 Vol.
$764,321 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High market-implied odds against an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stem from the Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining regionally confined to the Democratic Republic of the Congo despite rapid early growth to over 7,200 confirmed cases and 3,500 deaths by mid-September. Official CDC and WHO data show transmission declining in Ituri province, the epicenter, with only limited cases in Uganda and one imported case in France and no evidence of sustained community spread beyond central Africa. The WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern but has not characterized the event as a pandemic given its geographic scope. Traders note realistic upside risks from continued spread into additional provinces or neighboring countries amid security challenges and high population mobility, though recent model trends and response progress support sustained containment through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volume
$764,321Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High market-implied odds against an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stem from the Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining regionally confined to the Democratic Republic of the Congo despite rapid early growth to over 7,200 confirmed cases and 3,500 deaths by mid-September. Official CDC and WHO data show transmission declining in Ituri province, the epicenter, with only limited cases in Uganda and one imported case in France and no evidence of sustained community spread beyond central Africa. The WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern but has not characterized the event as a pandemic given its geographic scope. Traders note realistic upside risks from continued spread into additional provinces or neighboring countries amid security challenges and high population mobility, though recent model trends and response progress support sustained containment through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$764,321Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...High market-implied odds against an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stem from the Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining regionally confined to the Democratic Republic of the Congo despite rapid early growth to over 7,200 confirmed cases and 3,500 deaths by mid-September. Official CDC and WHO data show transmission declining in Ituri province, the epicenter, with only limited cases in Uganda and one imported case in France and no evidence of sustained community spread beyond central Africa. The WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern but has not characterized the event as a pandemic given its geographic scope. Traders note realistic upside risks from continued spread into additional provinces or neighboring countries amid security challenges and high population mobility, though recent model trends and response progress support sustained containment through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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