California’s 14th congressional district remains a structural Democratic stronghold, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by nearly three to one and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez to the November general, eliminating any Republican path after the seat became open following Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Wahab’s subsequent victory in the August special general election further consolidated party support and name recognition ahead of the full-term contest. Trader consensus at 97.4% for a Democratic winner reflects these fundamentals, with the 0.4% Republican share consistent with historical results in the East Bay district. A reversal would require an unprecedented development, such as both nominees being disqualified or a dramatic shift in voter registration not observed in recent cycles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-14 House Election Winner
CA-14 House Election Winner
$35,762 Vol.
$35,762 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$35,762 Vol.
$35,762 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,006 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$21,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 14th congressional district remains a structural Democratic stronghold, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by nearly three to one and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez to the November general, eliminating any Republican path after the seat became open following Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Wahab’s subsequent victory in the August special general election further consolidated party support and name recognition ahead of the full-term contest. Trader consensus at 97.4% for a Democratic winner reflects these fundamentals, with the 0.4% Republican share consistent with historical results in the East Bay district. A reversal would require an unprecedented development, such as both nominees being disqualified or a dramatic shift in voter registration not observed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$35,762Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 14th congressional district remains a structural Democratic stronghold, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by nearly three to one and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez to the November general, eliminating any Republican path after the seat became open following Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Wahab’s subsequent victory in the August special general election further consolidated party support and name recognition ahead of the full-term contest. Trader consensus at 97.4% for a Democratic winner reflects these fundamentals, with the 0.4% Republican share consistent with historical results in the East Bay district. A reversal would require an unprecedented development, such as both nominees being disqualified or a dramatic shift in voter registration not observed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,762Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 14th congressional district remains a structural Democratic stronghold, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by nearly three to one and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez to the November general, eliminating any Republican path after the seat became open following Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Wahab’s subsequent victory in the August special general election further consolidated party support and name recognition ahead of the full-term contest. Trader consensus at 97.4% for a Democratic winner reflects these fundamentals, with the 0.4% Republican share consistent with historical results in the East Bay district. A reversal would require an unprecedented development, such as both nominees being disqualified or a dramatic shift in voter registration not observed in recent cycles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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