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icon for Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Ekonomi·Tarif Global

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

icon for Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Ekonomi·Tarif Global

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

71% peluang
Polymarket

$24,084 Vol.

71% peluang
Polymarket

$24,084 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Elevated Canadian headline CPI near 3% through August 2026, fueled by persistent gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has lifted market-implied odds of a Bank of Canada rate hike this year to 71%. The policy rate has remained at 2.25% since early 2026 as core measures (CPI-trim and median) stayed near 2% with limited pass-through to broader prices. Economic recovery is broadening yet faces downside risks from U.S. tariffs and trade uncertainty, while bond markets price a close call for the October 28 decision. Traders weigh potential “insurance” tightening against anchored longer-term expectations and the Bank’s focus on inflation risks versus growth.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,084
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Elevated Canadian headline CPI near 3% through August 2026, fueled by persistent gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has lifted market-implied odds of a Bank of Canada rate hike this year to 71%. The policy rate has remained at 2.25% since early 2026 as core measures (CPI-trim and median) stayed near 2% with limited pass-through to broader prices. Economic recovery is broadening yet faces downside risks from U.S. tariffs and trade uncertainty, while bond markets price a close call for the October 28 decision. Traders weigh potential “insurance” tightening against anchored longer-term expectations and the Bank’s focus on inflation risks versus growth.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,084
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 71% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 71¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 71% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $24.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 11, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?" adalah 71% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 71% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.