Chengdu Rongcheng holds a commanding 12-point lead atop the 2026 Chinese Super League table after 26 rounds, with 52 points and a +21 goal difference that reflects sustained attacking output and defensive organization. The side needs just one more point from its remaining four fixtures to clinch the title, a threshold second-placed Dalian Yingbo cannot mathematically reach even with a perfect run. Recent results, including a 0-0 draw against Henan that stalled an immediate coronation, underscore Chengdu’s consistency despite a mid-season dip in wins. Trader consensus at 99.4% for Chengdu versus 1.8% for Dalian aligns with this gap. A realistic shift would require unforeseen points deductions, widespread injuries to Chengdu’s key contributors, or an unprecedented collapse in form that erodes the buffer before the final matchday.