US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv in early September highlighted territory as the central impasse in efforts to revive trilateral talks, with Russia insisting Ukraine withdraw from remaining Ukrainian-held areas in Donetsk and other eastern regions while Kyiv rejects unilateral concessions that would reward advances without security guarantees. President Zelenskyy has stated that Russian objectives extend beyond specific land to broader control, complicating any freeze or recognition of current lines. Russia has signaled openness to renewed US-mediated discussions after its September parliamentary elections, with potential trilateral meetings eyed for October. Ongoing frontline operations and Ukrainian long-range strikes continue amid these diplomatic signals, leaving the path to any agreement dependent on leadership-level negotiations and shifts in battlefield or external pressure dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या यूक्रेन... तक रूस को क्षेत्र सौंपने के लिए सहमत होगा?
$823,653 वॉल्यूम

31 दिसंबर, 2026
7%
$823,653 वॉल्यूम

31 दिसंबर, 2026
7%
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv in early September highlighted territory as the central impasse in efforts to revive trilateral talks, with Russia insisting Ukraine withdraw from remaining Ukrainian-held areas in Donetsk and other eastern regions while Kyiv rejects unilateral concessions that would reward advances without security guarantees. President Zelenskyy has stated that Russian objectives extend beyond specific land to broader control, complicating any freeze or recognition of current lines. Russia has signaled openness to renewed US-mediated discussions after its September parliamentary elections, with potential trilateral meetings eyed for October. Ongoing frontline operations and Ukrainian long-range strikes continue amid these diplomatic signals, leaving the path to any agreement dependent on leadership-level negotiations and shifts in battlefield or external pressure dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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