Russian forces have pursued incremental advances and infiltrations toward Novyi Donbas, a settlement southeast of Dobropillya in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader efforts to pressure Ukraine’s Fortress Belt around Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka, Slovyansk, and Kramatorsk. Infiltrations were reported in the area during spring and summer 2026, though Ukrainian strikes and localized counteractions prevented sustained consolidation. More recently, Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector has liberated multiple settlements and disrupted Russian flanking maneuvers, contributing to slower Russian momentum across Donetsk Oblast. Putin continues to set end-of-2026 deadlines for full oblast control, yet battlefield reporting shows limited net Russian territorial gains amid Ukrainian recoveries and ongoing drone and artillery interdiction. Diplomatic discussions at the UN General Assembly could influence resource allocation and cease-fire prospects in the coming weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या रूस... तक नोवी डोनबास पर कब्जा कर लेगा?
क्या रूस... तक नोवी डोनबास पर कब्जा कर लेगा?
$88,728 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
31 अक्टूबर
24%
$88,728 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टूबर
$37,176 वॉल्यूम
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.450545° N, 37.181493° E in Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Novyi Donbas: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas1.png
Novyi Donbas Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/fsRaQXJ6vikXNKYu9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pursued incremental advances and infiltrations toward Novyi Donbas, a settlement southeast of Dobropillya in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader efforts to pressure Ukraine’s Fortress Belt around Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka, Slovyansk, and Kramatorsk. Infiltrations were reported in the area during spring and summer 2026, though Ukrainian strikes and localized counteractions prevented sustained consolidation. More recently, Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector has liberated multiple settlements and disrupted Russian flanking maneuvers, contributing to slower Russian momentum across Donetsk Oblast. Putin continues to set end-of-2026 deadlines for full oblast control, yet battlefield reporting shows limited net Russian territorial gains amid Ukrainian recoveries and ongoing drone and artillery interdiction. Diplomatic discussions at the UN General Assembly could influence resource allocation and cease-fire prospects in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.450545° N, 37.181493° E in Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Novyi Donbas: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas1.png
Novyi Donbas Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/fsRaQXJ6vikXNKYu9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Novyi Donbas: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas1.png
Novyi Donbas Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/fsRaQXJ6vikXNKYu9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$88,728समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 3:10 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.450545° N, 37.181493° E in Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Novyi Donbas: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas1.png
Novyi Donbas Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/fsRaQXJ6vikXNKYu9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pursued incremental advances and infiltrations toward Novyi Donbas, a settlement southeast of Dobropillya in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader efforts to pressure Ukraine’s Fortress Belt around Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka, Slovyansk, and Kramatorsk. Infiltrations were reported in the area during spring and summer 2026, though Ukrainian strikes and localized counteractions prevented sustained consolidation. More recently, Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector has liberated multiple settlements and disrupted Russian flanking maneuvers, contributing to slower Russian momentum across Donetsk Oblast. Putin continues to set end-of-2026 deadlines for full oblast control, yet battlefield reporting shows limited net Russian territorial gains amid Ukrainian recoveries and ongoing drone and artillery interdiction. Diplomatic discussions at the UN General Assembly could influence resource allocation and cease-fire prospects in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.450545° N, 37.181493° E in Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Novyi Donbas: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas1.png
Novyi Donbas Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/fsRaQXJ6vikXNKYu9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Novyi Donbas: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas1.png
Novyi Donbas Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novyi+Donbas2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/fsRaQXJ6vikXNKYu9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$88,728समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 3:10 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have pursued incremental advances and infiltrations toward Novyi Donbas, a settlement southeast of Dobropillya in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader efforts to pressure Ukraine’s Fortress Belt around Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka, Slovyansk, and Kramatorsk. Infiltrations were reported in the area during spring and summer 2026, though Ukrainian strikes and localized counteractions prevented sustained consolidation. More recently, Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector has liberated multiple settlements and disrupted Russian flanking maneuvers, contributing to slower Russian momentum across Donetsk Oblast. Putin continues to set end-of-2026 deadlines for full oblast control, yet battlefield reporting shows limited net Russian territorial gains amid Ukrainian recoveries and ongoing drone and artillery interdiction. Diplomatic discussions at the UN General Assembly could influence resource allocation and cease-fire prospects in the coming weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न