Iran’s continued NPT membership despite recent IAEA Board of Governors referral to the UN Security Council on September 9, 2026, for safeguards non-compliance underpins trader expectations against withdrawal before 2027. The referral follows unresolved verification gaps at sites damaged in 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes, including unaccounted 60%-enriched uranium stockpiles and restricted inspector access. Iranian officials have described withdrawal as a possible option requiring legal and strategic review but have not issued the required 90-day notice or advanced pending parliamentary bills from earlier in 2026. Limited IAEA cooperation persists under interim arrangements rather than formal exit, consistent with historical patterns where Tehran has used NPT leverage in negotiations without completing withdrawal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ईरान 2027 से पहले एनपीटी से हट जाएगा?
क्या ईरान 2027 से पहले एनपीटी से हट जाएगा?
हाँ
13% संभावना
$458,536 वॉल्यूम
$458,536 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
13% संभावना
$458,536 वॉल्यूम
$458,536 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran’s continued NPT membership despite recent IAEA Board of Governors referral to the UN Security Council on September 9, 2026, for safeguards non-compliance underpins trader expectations against withdrawal before 2027. The referral follows unresolved verification gaps at sites damaged in 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes, including unaccounted 60%-enriched uranium stockpiles and restricted inspector access. Iranian officials have described withdrawal as a possible option requiring legal and strategic review but have not issued the required 90-day notice or advanced pending parliamentary bills from earlier in 2026. Limited IAEA cooperation persists under interim arrangements rather than formal exit, consistent with historical patterns where Tehran has used NPT leverage in negotiations without completing withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$458,536समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran’s continued NPT membership despite recent IAEA Board of Governors referral to the UN Security Council on September 9, 2026, for safeguards non-compliance underpins trader expectations against withdrawal before 2027. The referral follows unresolved verification gaps at sites damaged in 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes, including unaccounted 60%-enriched uranium stockpiles and restricted inspector access. Iranian officials have described withdrawal as a possible option requiring legal and strategic review but have not issued the required 90-day notice or advanced pending parliamentary bills from earlier in 2026. Limited IAEA cooperation persists under interim arrangements rather than formal exit, consistent with historical patterns where Tehran has used NPT leverage in negotiations without completing withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$458,536समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Iran’s continued NPT membership despite recent IAEA Board of Governors referral to the UN Security Council on September 9, 2026, for safeguards non-compliance underpins trader expectations against withdrawal before 2027. The referral follows unresolved verification gaps at sites damaged in 2025 U.S. and Israeli strikes, including unaccounted 60%-enriched uranium stockpiles and restricted inspector access. Iranian officials have described withdrawal as a possible option requiring legal and strategic review but have not issued the required 90-day notice or advanced pending parliamentary bills from earlier in 2026. Limited IAEA cooperation persists under interim arrangements rather than formal exit, consistent with historical patterns where Tehran has used NPT leverage in negotiations without completing withdrawal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न